Including biotic interactions in species distribution models improves the understanding of species niche: a case of study with the brown bear in Europe-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Including biotic interactions in species distribution models improves the understanding of species niche: a case of study with the brown bear in Europe

Published:2023-03-12 Issue: Volume: Page:
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Lucas Pablo M.^ORCID,Thuiller Wilfried^ORCID,Talluto Matthew V.^ORCID,Polaina Ester^ORCID,Albrecht Jörg^ORCID,Selva Nuria^ORCID,Barba Marta De^ORCID,Maiorano Luigi^ORCID,Penteriani Vincenzo^ORCID,Guéguen Maya^ORCID,Balkenhol Niko^ORCID,Dutta Trishna^ORCID,Fedorca Ancuta^ORCID,Frank Shane C.^ORCID,Zedrosser Andreas^ORCID,Afonso-Jordana Ivan,Ambarlı Hüseyin^ORCID,Ballesteros Fernando^ORCID,Bashta Andriy-Taras^ORCID,Bilgin Cemal Can^ORCID,Bogdanović Neda^ORCID,Bojārs Edgars,Bojarska Katarzyna^ORCID,Bragalanti Natalia,Brøseth Henrik^ORCID,Chynoweth Mark W.^ORCID,Ćirović Duško^ORCID,Ciucci Paolo^ORCID,Corradini Andrea^ORCID,Angelis Daniele De^ORCID,Hernando Miguel de Gabriel^ORCID,Domokos Csaba^ORCID,Dutsov Aleksander,Ertürk Alper^ORCID,Filacorda Stefano^ORCID,Frangini Lorenzo^ORCID,Groff Claudio,Heikkinen Samuli,Hoxha Bledi,Huber Djuro^ORCID,Huitu Otso^ORCID,Ionescu Georgeta,Ionescu Ovidiu,Jerina Klemen^ORCID,Jurj Ramon,Karamanlidis Alexandros A.^ORCID,Kindberg Jonas^ORCID,Kojola Ilpo^ORCID,López-Bao José Vicente^ORCID,Männil Peep,Melovski Dime^ORCID,Mertzanis Yorgos,Molinari Paolo,Molinari-Jobin Anja^ORCID,Mustoni Andrea,Naves Javier^ORCID,Ogurtsov Sergey^ORCID,Özüt Deniz^ORCID,Palazón Santiago,Pedrotti Luca,Perović Aleksandar,Piminov Vladimir N.,Pop Ioan-Mihai^ORCID,Popa Marius,Psaralexi Maria^ORCID,Quenette Pierre-Yves,Rauer Georg,Reljic Slaven^ORCID,Revilla Eloy^ORCID,Saarma Urmas^ORCID,Saveljev Alexander P.^ORCID,Sayar Ali Onur^ORCID,Şekercioğlu Cagan H.^ORCID,Sergiel Agnieszka^ORCID,Sîrbu George,Skrbinšek Tomaž^ORCID,Skuban Michaela,Soyumert Anil^ORCID,Stojanov Aleksandar,Tammeleht Egle^ORCID,Tirronen Konstantin^ORCID,Trajçe Aleksandër^ORCID,Trbojević Igor^ORCID,Trbojević Tijana,Zięba Filip,Zlatanova Diana^ORCID,Zwijacz-Kozica Tomasz,Pollock Laura J.

Abstract

ABSTRACTBiotic interactions are expected to influence species’ responses to climate change, but they are usually not included when predicting future range shifts. We assessed the importance of biotic interactions to understand future consequences of climate and land use change for biodiversity using as a model system the brown bear (Ursus arctos) in Europe. By including biotic interactions using the spatial variation of energy contribution and habitat models of each food species, we showed that the use of biotic factors considerably improves our understanding of the distribution of brown bears. Predicted future range shifts, which included changes in the distribution of food species, varied greatly when considering various scenarios of change in biotic factors, warning about future indirect climate change effects. Our study confirmed that advancing our understanding of ecological networks of species interactions will improve future scenarios of biodiversity change, which is key for conserving biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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