A mathematical model for malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions

Author:

Yang Hyun M1

Affiliation:

1. Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Brasil

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Sensitivity analysis was applied to a mathematical model describing malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions. METHODS: A previous compartment model was proposed to describe the overall transmission of malaria. This model was built up on several parameters and the prevalence of malaria in a community was characterized by the values assigned to them. To assess the control efforts, the model parameters can vary on broad intervals. RESULTS: By performing the sensitivity analysis on equilibrium points, which represent the level of malaria infection in a community, the different possible scenarios are obtained when the parameters are changed. CONCLUSIONS: Depending on malaria risk, the efforts to control its transmission can be guided by a subset of parameters used in the mathematical model.

Publisher

FapUNIFESP (SciELO)

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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