The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past, present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes
-
Published:2018-06-19
Issue:
Volume:15
Page:117-126
-
ISSN:1992-0636
-
Container-title:Advances in Science and Research
-
language:en
-
Short-container-title:Adv. Sci. Res.
Author:
Blenkinsop Stephen, Fowler Hayley J.ORCID, Barbero RenaudORCID, Chan Steven C.ORCID, Guerreiro Selma B., Kendon Elizabeth, Lenderink Geert, Lewis Elizabeth, Li Xiao-FengORCID, Westra Seth, Alexander Lisa, Allan Richard P.ORCID, Berg PeterORCID, Dunn Robert J. H.ORCID, Ekström Marie, Evans Jason P.ORCID, Holland Greg, Jones Richard, Kjellström ErikORCID, Klein-Tank Albert, Lettenmaier Dennis, Mishra VimalORCID, Prein Andreas F., Sheffield Justin, Tye Mari R.ORCID
Abstract
Abstract. Historical in situ sub-daily rainfall observations are essential for the
understanding of short-duration rainfall extremes but records are typically
not readily accessible and data are often subject to errors and
inhomogeneities. Furthermore, these events are poorly quantified in
projections of future climate change making adaptation to the risk of flash
flooding problematic. Consequently, knowledge of the processes contributing
to intense, short-duration rainfall is less complete compared with those on
daily timescales. The INTENSE project is addressing this global challenge by
undertaking a data collection initiative that is coupled with advances in
high-resolution climate modelling to better understand key processes and
likely future change. The project has so far acquired data from over
23 000 rain gauges for its global sub-daily rainfall dataset (GSDR) and has
provided evidence of an intensification of hourly extremes over the US.
Studies of these observations, combined with model simulations, will continue
to advance our understanding of the role of local-scale thermodynamics and
large-scale atmospheric circulation in the generation of these events and how
these might change in the future.
Funder
European Research Council
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Subject
Atmospheric Science,Pollution,Geophysics,Ecological Modeling
Reference63 articles.
1. Alexander, L., Zhang, X., Hegerl, G., Seneviratne, S., Behrangi, A., Fischer, E., Martius, O., Otto, F., Sillmann, J., and Vautard, R.: Implementation plan for WCRP grand challenge on understanding and predicting weather and climate extremes. World Climate Research Programme Report: Geneva, Switzerland, available at: http://www.wcrp-climate.org/gc-extremes-documents (last access: 22 January 2018), 2016. 2. Ali, H. and Mishra, V.: Contrasting response of rainfall extremes to increase in surface air and dewpoint temperatures at urban locations in India, Sci. Rep., 7, 1228, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-01306-1, 2017. 3. Allan, R. P., Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W., and Good, P.: Current changes in tropical precipitation, Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 025205, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205, 2010. 4. Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232, 2002. 5. Argueso, D., Evans, J. P., Fita, L., and Bormann, K. J.: Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change, Clim. Dynam., 42, 2183–2199, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6, 2014.
Cited by
60 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
|
|