Dynamics of development of urban housing stock and urban population

Abstract

The development of urban housing policies needs to be correlated with the demographic development of the city. Demographic dynamics in the world, including Kyrgyzstan, is developing towards the urbanization of the population and the increase in agglomerations. Therefore, in this article, we study the degree of interdependence of urban population growth factors with the dynamics of the housing stock and the volume of commissioning of a new urban dwelling. In particular, the two largest cities of the Kyrgyz Republic were studied – the capital Bishkek and the southern city of Osh, in which more than 60% of the urban population concentrated. On the basis of the analysis, the aim is to establish a unified public housing and demographic policy for cities based on the mutual development of the urban population and urban housing stock. We have considered the historical development of these factors as well with subsequent justification of their prospective or prognostic development in the light of one housing and demographic policy for the strategic urban development plan. On the demographic side, we took indicators of the total permanent urban population and the dynamics of population growth in Bishkek and Osh; on the housing side, we took indicators of commissioning new urban housing, urban housing stock and the availability of housing per person in the city.