Deep learning-based state prediction of the Lorenz system with control parameters

Author:

Wang Xiaolong12ORCID,Feng Jing3ORCID,Xu Yong24ORCID,Kurths Jürgen56ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Shaanxi Normal University 1 , Xi’an 710119, China

2. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northwestern Polytechnical University 2 , Xi’an 710072, China

3. School of Science, Xi’an University of Posts & Telecommunications 3 , Xi’an 710121, China

4. MOE Key Laboratory for Complexity Science in Aerospace, Northwestern Polytechnical University 4 , Xi’an 710072, China

5. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research 5 , Potsdam 14412, Germany

6. Department of Physics, Humboldt University Berlin 6 , Berlin 12489, Germany

Abstract

Nonlinear dynamical systems with control parameters may not be well modeled by shallow neural networks. In this paper, the stable fixed-point solutions, periodic and chaotic solutions of the parameter-dependent Lorenz system are learned simultaneously via a very deep neural network. The proposed deep learning model consists of a large number of identical linear layers, which provide excellent nonlinear mapping capability. Residual connections are applied to ease the flow of information and a large training dataset is further utilized. Extensive numerical results show that the chaotic solutions can be accurately forecasted for several Lyapunov times and long-term predictions are achieved for periodic solutions. Additionally, the dynamical characteristics such as bifurcation diagrams and largest Lyapunov exponents can be well recovered from the learned solutions. Finally, the principal factors contributing to the high prediction accuracy are discussed.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province

Scientific Research Program Funded by Shaanxi Provincial Education Department

Publisher

AIP Publishing

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