Initialization and Ensemble Generation for Decadal Climate Predictions: A Comparison of Different Methods

Author:

Polkova Iuliia1ORCID,Brune Sebastian1ORCID,Kadow Christopher2ORCID,Romanova Vanya3,Gollan Gereon4ORCID,Baehr Johanna1ORCID,Glowienka-Hense Rita3,Greatbatch Richard J.4ORCID,Hense Andreas3ORCID,Illing Sebastian2,Köhl Armin1,Kröger Jürgen5,Müller Wolfgang A.5ORCID,Pankatz Klaus6,Stammer Detlef1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Oceanography; Universität Hamburg, CEN; Hamburg Germany

2. Institute for Meteorology; Freie Universität Berlin; Berlin Germany

3. Meteorological Institute; University of Bonn; Bonn Germany

4. GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel; Kiel Germany

5. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology; Hamburg Germany

6. Deutscher Wetterdienst; Offenbach Germany

Funder

Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,Environmental Chemistry,Global and Planetary Change

Reference84 articles.

1. A simple test of the initialization of gravity modes;Ballish;Monthly Weather Review,1981

2. Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4;Balmaseda;Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,2013

3. The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction;Bauer;Nature,2015

4. New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue;Benestad;Nature Climate Change,2017

5. Decadal predictability and forecast skill;Boer;Climate Dynamics,2013

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