Estimation Method for Road Link Travel Time Considering the Heterogeneity of Driving Styles

Abstract

To solve the problem of low automatic number plate recognition (ANPR) data integrity and low completion accuracy of incomplete traffic data, which affects the quality and utilization of ANPR data, this paper proposed a model for estimating the travel time of the road link that considers the heterogeneity of the driving styles. The travel time of historical road sections in the road network was extracted from ANPR data. The driving crowd was clustered through density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) based on the time slot, the number of trips, and the travel time. To avoid the excessive data difference between different classes and the distortion of the complement data, the Lagrange interpolation method was adopted to complement the missing road link travel time within each cluster. Taking Ningbo city in China as an example, the travel time completion accuracies of the proposed method and the direct interpolation method were compared. The results show that the interpolation method considering the heterogeneity of driving styles is more sufficient to increase the completion accuracy by 37.4% compared with the direct interpolation manner. The comparison result verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method and can provide more reliable data support for the construction of the transportation system.