Sampling Estimation and Optimization of Typical Forest Biomass Based on Sequential Gaussian Conditional Simulation

Abstract

The traditional classical sampling statistics method ignores the spatial location relationship of survey samples, which leads to many problems. This study aimed to propose a spatial sampling method for sampling estimation and optimization of forest biomass, achieving a more efficient and effective monitoring system. In this paper, we used Sequential Gaussian Conditional Simulation (SGCS) to obtain the biomass of four typical forest types in Shangri-La, Yunnan Province, China. In addition, we adopted a geostatistical sampling method for sample point layout and optimization to achieve the purpose of improving sampling efficiency and accuracy, and compared with the traditional sampling method. The main results showed that (1) the Gaussian model, exponential model, and spherical model were used to analyze the variogram of the four typical forests biomass, among which the exponential model had the best fitting effect (R2 = 0.571, RSS = 0.019). The range of the exponential model was 8700 m, and the nugget coefficient (C0/(C0 + C)) was 11.67%, which showed that the exponential model could be used to analyze the variogram of forest biomass. (2) The coefficient of variation (CV) based on 323 biomass field plots was 0.706, and the CV based on SGCS was 0.366. In addition, the Overall Estimate Consistency (OEC) of the simulation result was 0.871, which can be used for comparative analysis of traditional and spatial sampling. (3) Based on the result of SGCS, with 95% reliability, the sample size of traditional equidistant sampling (ES) was 191, and the sampling accuracy was 95.16%. But, the spatial sampling method based on the variation scale needed 92 samples, and the sampling accuracy was 93.12%. On the premise of satisfying sampling accuracy, spatial sampling efficiency was better than traditional ES. (4) The accuracy of stratified sampling (SS) of four typical forest areas based on 191 samples was 97.46%. However, the sampling accuracy of the biomass variance stratified space based on the SGCS was 93.89%, and the sample size was 52. Under the premise of satisfying the sampling accuracy, the sampling efficiency was obviously better than the traditional SS. Therefore, we can obtain the conclusion that the spatial sampling method is superior to the traditional sampling method, as it can reduce sampling costs and solve the problem of sample redundancy in traditional sampling, improving the sampling efficiency and accuracy, which can be used for sampling estimation of forest biomass.