Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections

Author:

Alexander Peter12,Prestele Reinhard3ORCID,Verburg Peter H.3,Arneth Almut4,Baranzelli Claudia5,Batista e Silva Filipe5,Brown Calum1,Butler Adam6,Calvin Katherine7,Dendoncker Nicolas8,Doelman Jonathan C.9,Dunford Robert1011,Engström Kerstin12,Eitelberg David3,Fujimori Shinichiro13,Harrison Paula A.11,Hasegawa Tomoko13,Havlik Petr14,Holzhauer Sascha1,Humpenöder Florian15,Jacobs-Crisioni Chris5,Jain Atul K.16,Krisztin Tamás14,Kyle Page7,Lavalle Carlo5,Lenton Tim17,Liu Jiayi6,Meiyappan Prasanth16,Popp Alexander15,Powell Tom17,Sands Ronald D.18,Schaldach Rüdiger19,Stehfest Elke9,Steinbuks Jevgenijs20,Tabeau Andrzej21,van Meijl Hans21,Wise Marshall A.7,Rounsevell Mark D. A.1

Affiliation:

1. School of GeoSciences; University of Edinburgh; Drummond Street Edinburgh EH8 9XP UK

2. Land Economy and Environment Research Group; SRUC; West Mains Road Edinburgh EH9 3JG UK

3. Environmental Geography Group; Department of Earth Sciences; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; De Boelelaan 1087 Amsterdam HV 1081 The Netherlands

4. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology; Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research; Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU); Kreuzeckbahnstr. 19 Garmisch-Partenkirchen 82467 Germany

5. Directorate B Innovation and Growth, Territorial Development Unit; European Commission; Via Fermi 2749 Varese 21027 Italy

6. Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland; JCMB; King's Buildings Edinburgh EH9 3JZ UK

7. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Joint Global Change Research Institute; College Park MD 20740 USA

8. Department of Geography; Namur Research Group on Sustainable Development; University of Namur; Rue de Bruxelles 61 Namur B-5000 Belgium

9. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL); P.O. Box 303 Bilthoven 3720 AH The Netherlands

10. Environmental Change Institute; University of Oxford; South Parks Road Oxford OX1 3QY UK

11. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology; Lancaster Environment Centre; Library Avenue, Bailrigg Lancaster LA1 4AP UK

12. Department of Geography and Ecosystem Science; Lund University; Paradisgatan 2 Lund Sweden

13. Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research; National Institute for Environmental Studies; 16-2 Onogawa Tsukuba 305-8506 Japan

14. Ecosystem Services and Management Program; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis; Laxenburg A-2361 Austria

15. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK); PO Box 60 12 03 Potsdam 14412 Germany

16. Department of Atmospheric Sciences; University of Illinois; Urbana IL 61801 USA

17. Earth System Science; College of Life and Environmental Sciences; University of Exeter; Laver Building (Level 7), North Parks Road Exeter EX4 4QE UK

18. Resource and Rural Economics Division; US Department of Agriculture; Economic Research Service; Washington DC 20250 USA

19. Center for Environmental Systems Research; University of Kassel; Wilhelmshöher Allee 47 Kassel D-34109 Germany

20. Development Research Group; The World Bank; Washington DC USA

21. LEI, Wageningen University and Research Centre; P.O. Box 29703 The Hague 2502 LS The Netherlands

Funder

European Research Council

SIGMA

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

General Environmental Science,Ecology,Environmental Chemistry,Global and Planetary Change

Reference65 articles.

1. Drivers for global agricultural land use change: the nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy;Alexander;Global Environmental Change,2015

2. Land cover change or land-use intensification: simulating land system change with a global-scale land change model;Asselen;Global Change Biology,2013

3. Baranzelli C Jacobs-crisioni C Batista F Castillo CP Barbosa A Torres JA Lavalle C 2014 The Reference scenario in the LUISA platform - Updated configuration 2014 Towards a Common Baseline Scenario for EC Impact Assessment procedures

4. Fitting linear mixed-effects models using lme4;Bates;Journal of Statistical Software,2015

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