The Effects of Presenting Imprecise Probabilities in Intelligence Forecasts
Author:
Publisher
Wiley
Subject
Physiology (medical),Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Link
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01384.x/fullpdf
Reference44 articles.
1. Morgan MG Henrion M Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis Cambridge University Press 1990
2. Variability and uncertainty meet risk management and risk communication;Thompson;Risk Analysis,2002
3. Why forecasts fail: The limits and potential of forecasting in international relations and economics;Doran;International Study Review,1999
Cited by 41 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
1. When evidence changes: Communicating uncertainty protects against a loss of trust;Public Understanding of Science;2024-02-27
2. Investigating the effects of nudges to promote knowledge-sharing behaviours on MOOC forums: a mixed method design;Behaviour & Information Technology;2024-02-16
3. The effects of communicating uncertainty around statistics, on public trust;Royal Society Open Science;2023-11
4. Probability and informed consent;Theoretical Medicine and Bioethics;2023-08-08
5. Verbal and numeric probabilities differentially shape decisions;Thinking & Reasoning;2023-06-14
1.学者识别学者识别
2.学术分析学术分析
3.人才评估人才评估
"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线，采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统，可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容，当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种，收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇，并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询！咨询电话：010-8811{复制后删除}0370
www.globalauthorid.com
TOP
Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司 京公网安备11010802033243号 京ICP备18003416号-3