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2. Subjective confidence in forecasts;Fischhoff;Journal of Forecasting,1982
3. Sensitivity of decisions to probability estimation errors: A re-examination;Fishburn;Operations Research,1968
4. The value of knowing how little you know: The advantages of a probabilistic treatment of uncertainty in policy analysis;Henrion,1982
5. Evaluation of a probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting experiment;Hsu,1982