Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass

Published:2022-05-06 Issue:2 Volume:19 Page:6-13
ISSN:2541-8653
Container-title:Messenger of ANESTHESIOLOGY AND RESUSCITATION
language:
Short-container-title:Vestn. anesteziol. reanimatol.

Author:

Berikashvili L. B.¹^ORCID,Kuzovlev A. N.²^ORCID,Yadgarov M. Yа.²^ORCID,Kadantseva K. K.²^ORCID,Ozhiganova E. A.²^ORCID,Likhvantsev V. V.³^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. V. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research Institute; M. F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research and Clinical Institute

2. V. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research Institute

3. V. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research Institute; I. M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)

Abstract

The objective: to evaluate the prognostic value of Nomogram M for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCE) after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.Subjects and Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of the Nomogram M prognostic value for MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. 158 patients were enrolled in the study. The prognostic value was estimated using ROC-analysis.Results. The frequency of MACE and MACCE during hospitalization made 5.7% (9 of 158 patients) and 6.3% (10 of 158 patients), respectively. AUC Nomogram M for MACE was 0.888 [0.825; 0.950] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 88.89%, specificity – 83.89%). Odd ratio was 41.67 [95% CI 4.98; 348.61] (p < 0.001).AUC Nomogram M for MACCE was 0.893 [0.834; 0.951] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%). Odd ratio was 48.91 [95% CI 5.91; 404.78] (p < 0.001)Conclusion. Nomogram M has a good prognostic value for the occurrence of MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. For MACE sensitivity made 88.89%, and specificity – 83.89%. For MACCE sensitivity was 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%.

Publisher

FSBEI HE I.P. Pavlov SPbSMU MOH Russia

Subject

Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine,Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine,Emergency Medicine

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