to be or not to be: forecast of Covid-19 epidemic development in Russia

Author:

Danilenko D. M.1,Komissarov A. B.1,Stukova M. A.1,Lioznov D. A.2

Affiliation:

1. Research Institute of Influenza named after A.A. Smorodintsev

2. Research Institute of Influenza named after A.A. Smorodintsev; First Saint-Petersburg State Medical University named after academician I.P. Pavlov

Abstract

Currently, the intensity of COVID-19 epidemic in Russia is declining. Most of the country’s regions are at the first stage of lifting restrictions; some regions have moved to the second and third phases. At the same time, the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Southern hemisphere indicates the continuous circulation of SARS-CoV-2 in the world. The article provides statements arguing for the development of the «second wave» of the COVID-19 epidemic in Russia, as well as practical recommendations aimed at preparing for the autumn-winter epidemic season 2020–2021.

Publisher

SPRIDA

Subject

Infectious Diseases

Reference18 articles.

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3. Report of the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/en/iasr-sp/865-iasr/8491-466te.html, fig. 4., accessed June 30, 2020

4. Lina B. CLINICAL MANIFESTATIONS OF INFLUENZA, RSV AND SARS-CoV-2 Co-Infections: Possible scenario’s. Open lecture for ESWI seminar «Managing influenza and RSV during COVID-19 pandemic».

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