Real and Misconceived Limitations to Decision Based Design With Utility Analysis

Author:

Thurston Deborah L.1

Affiliation:

1. Decision Systems Laboratory, University of Illinois, 104 S. Mathews Avenue, Urbana, IL 61801

Abstract

Decision based design shows great promise in improving the design process, but is not a panacea. The design problem of interest here is tradeoffs between conflicting objectives, particularly under uncertainty. The focus is on multiattribute utility theory. This paper describes several real limitations to utility analysis in the context of engineering design, and attempts to clear up several common misconceptions about it. The real limitations are in the initial configuration and analytic design phases, and in overcoming difficulties in group decision making. The major misconceptions relate to independence conditions, the functional form and assessment biases.

Publisher

ASME International

Subject

Computer Graphics and Computer-Aided Design,Computer Science Applications,Mechanical Engineering,Mechanics of Materials

Reference28 articles.

1. Hazelrigg, G. , 1998, “A Framework for Decision Based Design,” ASME J. Mech. Des., 120, No. 4, pp 653–658.

2. Suh, N., 1988, The Principals of Design, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.

3. Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., and Tversky, A., 1982, eds., Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press.

4. von Neumann, J., and Morgenstern, O., 1947, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 2nd ed. Princeton University Press, Princeton, N.J.

5. Keeney, R. L., and Raiffa, H., 1976, Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs, Wiley and Sons.

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