Optimisation model for multi-reservoir systems based on profust reliability

Author:

Nair Sukanya J.1ORCID,Sasikumar Kizhakkayil2

Affiliation:

1. Research Scholar, Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology Calicut, Kerala, India (corresponding author: )

2. Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology Calicut, Kerala, India

Abstract

A large number of multi-reservoir hydropower systems are in operation all over the world in order to meet increasing power demand. To date, different optimisation methods have been applied to multi-reservoir systems. However, overcoming the computational effort required to find an optimal operating policy for multi-reservoir systems still remains a difficult task. The aim of this study was to optimise the operation of complex multi-reservoir hydropower systems using profust reliability – a theory used in the reliability analysis of manufactured systems. The profust-reliability-based optimisation model was applied to a system with reservoirs connected in series and parallel to determine monthly operating policies for synthetically generated streamflow. The results show that the model is applicable to multi-reservoir systems.

Publisher

Thomas Telford Ltd.

Subject

Water Science and Technology

Reference16 articles.

1. Application of fuzzy logic to reliability engineering

2. Profust Reliability Theory

3. Fuzzy states as a basis for a theory of fuzzy reliability

4. Jaya Rami Reddy P (1987) Stochastic Hydrology. Lakshmi Publications, Chennai, India, pp. 219–225.

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