Independent effect of the triglyceride-glucose index on all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma: A retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index serves as a reliable proxy for insulin resistance (IR). IR has been linked to heightened incidence, prevalence, or severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma. Prior research indicates that critically ill patients are prone to developing IR. Nevertheless, few studies have delved into the correlation between IR and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with COPD and asthma. Therefore, the aim of this study is to explore the association between the TyG index and all-cause mortality in patients with COPD and asthma, with the goal of assessing the impact of IR on the prognosis of this patient population. Methods This is a retrospective study, and all data are from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) critical care database. This study included 684 ICU patients with COPD and asthma and divided them into quartiles based on TyG index levels. The primary outcomes of this study were all-cause mortality during follow-up, encompassing mortality at 30 days, 90 days, and 180 days. The Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to compare all-cause mortality among the above four groups. Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to examine the association between TyG index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with COPD and asthma. Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to assess potential nonlinear association between the TyG index and the primary outcome. Results A total of 684 patients (53.9% female) were included. The 90-days all-cause mortality rate and 180-days all-cause mortality were 11.7% and 12.3%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significant association between the TyG index and both 90-days all-cause mortality (log-rank p = .039) and 180-days all-cause mortality (log-rank p = .017). Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed a significant association between the TyG index and 90-days all-cause mortality in both the unadjusted model (HR, 1.30 [95% CI 1.08–1.57] p = .005) and the model adjusted for age, gender, and diabetes (HR, 1.38 [95% CI 1.15–1.67] p < .001). Similarly, the TyG index was associated with 180-days all-cause mortality in the unadjusted model (HR, 1.30 [95% CI 1.09–1.56] p = .004) and the model adjusted for age, sex, and diabetes (HR, 1.38 [95% CI 1.15–1.66] p < .001). The restricted cubic splines (RCS) regression model indicated a significant nonlinear association between the TyG index and both 90-days and 180-days all-cause mortality. Specifically, TyG index >4.8 was associated with an increased risk of mortality at both 90 days and 180 days. Conclusions In summary, our results extend the utility of the TyG index to critically ill patients with COPD and asthma. Our study shows that the TyG index is a potential predictor of all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with COPD and asthma. In addition, in patients with a TyG index exceeding 4.8, there was a heightened risk of mortality. Measuring the TyG index may help with risk stratification and prognosis prediction in critically ill patients with COPD and asthma. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm our findings.