Providing a foundation for interpretable autonomous agents through elicitation and modeling of criminal investigation pathways

Author:

Hepenstal Sam1,Zhang Leishi2,Kodogoda Neesha2,William Wong B.L.2

Affiliation:

1. Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, Porton Down, Salisbury, SP4 0JQ, UK

2. Middlesex University London, The Burroughs, Hendon, London NW4 4BT, UK

Abstract

Criminal investigations are guided by repetitive and time-consuming information retrieval tasks, often with high risk and high consequence. If Artificial intelligence (AI) systems can automate lines of inquiry, it could reduce the burden on analysts and allow them to focus their efforts on analysis. However, there is a critical need for algorithmic transparency to address ethical concerns. In this paper, we use data gathered from Cognitive Task Analysis (CTA) interviews of criminal intelligence analysts and perform a novel analysis method to elicit question networks. We show how these networks form an event tree, where events are consolidated by capturing analyst intentions. The event tree is simplified with a Dynamic Chain Event Graph (DCEG) that provides a foundation for transparent autonomous investigations.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

General Medicine,General Chemistry

Reference15 articles.

1. Barclay L. M, Smith J. Q, Thwaites P, Nicholson A. (2013). Dynamic Chain Event Graphs.

2. A Causal Bayesian Networks Viewpoint on Fairness

3. Couchman H. (2019). “Policing by Machine, Predictive Policing and the Threat to our Rights”. Liberty.

4. The “analysis of competing hypotheses” in intelligence analysis

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