The “analysis of competing hypotheses” in intelligence analysis

Author:

Dhami Mandeep K.1ORCID,Belton Ian K.2,Mandel David R.3

Affiliation:

1. Department of PsychologyMiddlesex University London UK

2. Department of Management ScienceUniversity of Strathclyde Glasgow UK

3. Intelligence, Influence and Collaboration SectionDRDC‐Toronto Research Centre Toronto Ontario Canada

Funder

Government of the United Kingdom

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous),Developmental and Educational Psychology,Experimental and Cognitive Psychology

Reference47 articles.

1. The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments

2. Confirmation and Matching Biases in Hypothesis Testing

3. Burns K.(2015).Bayesian HELP: Assisting inferences in all‐source intelligence. Paper presented at the AAAI 2015 Fall Symposium on Cognitive Assistance in Government and Public Sector Applications Arlington VA. Retrieved fromhttp://www.aaai.org/ocs/index.php/FSS/FSS15/paper/view/11681

4. Restructuring structured analytic techniques in intelligence

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