Author:
Chan Lay Guat,Ng Qian Yun
Abstract
<abstract>
<p>It is becoming increasingly evident that educators need to prioritize the welfare of their students, particularly those who are underperforming academically, also known as "students at risk". By analyzing learning behaviors, including attendance records, past academic results, and online interactions, we can identify students at risk and provide them with timely support. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a prediction model for identifying students at risk in an actuarial science course and suggest an intervention strategy. Our study was comprised of five components of learning analytics: data collection, reporting, prediction, intervention, and reassessment. Prior to applying a prediction model, correlation analysis was utilized to identify variables impacting students' academic performance. Three variables, including CGPA, pre-requisite subject marks, and assessment marks were considered due to their rather strong correlation with the final marks of the course. Then, quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA) was applied to predict students classified as "at risk" and "not as risk". Out of 69 students from the course, 15 students identified as "at risk" and 40 students participated in the Peer Assisted Learning Program (PALP) as an intervention strategy to reduce the course's failure rate. We cannot conclude whether PALP was an effective intervention strategy for students at risk because a majority of them failed to attend. However, we observed that those who attended PALP had a higher likelihood of passing the course. Our prediction model had high rates of accuracy, precision, sensitivity, and specificity, which were 91%, 98%, 91%, and 91%, respectively. Therefore, QDA could be considered a robust model for predicting students at risk. We have outlined some limitations and future studies at the end of our study.</p>
</abstract>
Publisher
American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)
Reference33 articles.
1. Lewis, R. and McCann, T., Teaching "at risk" students: Meeting their needs, in International Handbook of Research on Teachers and Teaching, Saha, L.J., Dworkin, A.G, Ed. 2009. Springer International Handbooks of Education.
2. Alyahyan, E. and Düştegör, D., Predicting academic success in higher education: literature review and best practices. International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education, 2020, 17(1): 3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-020-0177-7
3. Rienties, B., Nguyen, Q., Holmes, W. and Reedy, K., A review of ten years of implementation and research in aligning learning design with learning analytics at the Open University UK. Journal of Interaction Design and Architecture, 2017, 33: 134‒154.
4. Choi, S.P.M., Lam, S.S., Li, K.C. and Wong, B.T.M., Learning analytics at low cost: At-risk student prediction with clicker data and systematic proactive interventions. Educational Technology & Society, 2018, 21(2): 273–290.
5. Wilkinsona, K., McNamaraa, I., Wilsonb, D. and Riggsa, K., Using learning analytics to evaluate course design and student behaviour in an online wine business course. International Journal of Innovation in Science and Mathematics Education, 2019, 27(4): 97‒108. https://doi.org/10.30722/IJISME.27.04.008