Unavailability Assessment Based on Improved-Dependent Uncertain Ordered Weighted Averaging Operator and Fault Tree Analysis

Abstract

The fire-fighting system is one of the proactive technical barriers related to liquefied petroleum gas storage tank safety. This paper presents an integrated approach that uses fuzzy set theory, an improved-dependent uncertain ordered weighted averaging operator and fault tree analysis to handle uncertainty in the unavailability assessment of fire-fighting systems. In this study, the center of area is used to defuzzify triangular fuzzy numbers. Furthermore, for the fire-fighting system fault tree, importance analysis, including Fussell–Vesely importance measure and risk reduction worth of basic events, are performed to identify the weak links of the fire-fighting system. In addition, a real case study on a fire-fighting system for a liquefied petroleum gas storage system in an LPG unit in Algeria is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. The research results show that the proposed methodology makes it possible to assess the unavailability of the entire system by analyzing weak links. Consequently, some suggestions are given to take preventive–corrective actions in advance, in order to reduce the failure probability of fire-fighting system and assist the practitioners in setting priorities for improving safety procedures in liquefied petroleum gas storage tanks. The study provides references for analyzing safety barriers in a complex system.