HOMOCLINIC BIFURCATION IN AN OCEAN CIRCULATION BOX MODEL

Abstract

The qualitative behavior of a conceptual ocean box model is investigated. It is a paradigmatic model of the thermohaline ocean circulation of the Atlantic. In a bifurcation study, the two occurring bifurcations, a saddle-node and a Hopf bifurcation, are computed analytically. Using normal form theory, it is shown that the latter bifurcation is always subcritical. The unstable periodic orbit emerging at the Hopf bifurcation vanishes in a homoclinic bifurcation. The results are interpreted with respect to the stability of the thermohaline circulation.