Author:
Pal D.,Ghosh D.,Santra P.K.,Mahapatra G.S.
Abstract
AbstractThis paper attempts to describe the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (COVID-19) via an epidemic model. This virus has dissimilar effects in different countries. The number of new active coronavirus cases is increasing gradually across the globe. India is now in the second stage of COVID-19 spreading, it will be an epidemic very quickly if proper protection is not undertaken based on the database of the transmission of the disease. This paper is using the current data of COVID-19 for the mathematical modeling and its dynamical analysis. We bring in a new representation to appraise and manage the outbreak of infectious disease COVID-19 through SEQIR pandemic model, which is based on the supposition that the infected but undetected by testing individuals are send to quarantine during the incubation period. During the incubation period if any individual be infected by COVID-19, then that confirmed infected individuals are isolated and the necessary treatments are arranged so that they cannot taint the other residents in the community. Dynamics of the SEQIR model is presented by basic reproduction number Ro and the comprehensive stability analysis. Numerical results are depicted through apt graphical appearances using the data of five states and India.
Publisher
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
Reference49 articles.
1. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in wuhan, china;The Lancet,2020
2. N. Zhu , D. Zhang , W. Wang , X. Li , B. Yang , J. Song , X. Zhao , B. Huang , W. Shi , R. Lu , et al. A novel coronavirus from patients with pneumonia in china, 2019. New England Journal of Medicine, 2020.
3. National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China. http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqfkdt/202004/be27dc3c4a9544b081e2233537e762c3.shtml, accessed April 02, 2020.
4. Modelling strategies for controlling SARS outbreaks
5. Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 is a functional receptor for the SARS coronavirus
Cited by
13 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献