Urban-adapted mammal species have more known pathogens

Abstract

AbstractThe world is rapidly urbanising, inviting mounting concern that urban environments will experience increased zoonotic disease risk. Urban animals could have more frequent contact with humans, and therefore may transmit more zoonotic parasites; however, these animals have a specific set of underlying traits that may determine their parasite burdens while predisposing them to urban living, and they may be subject to more intense research effort, both of which could complicate our ability to reliably identify the role of urbanisation in driving zoonotic risk. Here, we test whether urban mammal species host more known zoonotic parasites, investigating the potential underlying drivers while accounting for a correlated suite of phenotypic, taxonomic, and geographic predictors. We found that urban-adapted mammals have more documented parasites, and more zoonotic parasites specifically: despite comprising only 157 of the 2792 investigated species (6%), urban mammals provided 39% of known host-parasite combinations and showed consistently higher viral discovery rates throughout the last century. However, contrary to predictions, much of the observed effect was attributable to research effort rather than to urban adaptation status itself, and urban-adapted species in fact hosted fewer zoonoses than expected given their total observed parasite richness. We conclude that extended historical contact with humans has had a limited impact on the number of observed zoonotic parasites in urban-adapted mammals; instead, their greater observed zoonotic richness likely reflects sampling bias arising from proximity to humans, which supports a near-universal underlying pattern of conflation between zoonotic risk, research effort, and synanthropy. These findings underscore the need to resolve the ecological mechanisms underlying links between anthropogenic change, sampling bias, and observed wildlife disease dynamics.