The Coupon Collector's Problem Revisited: Asymptotics of the Variance

Abstract

We develop techniques for computing the asymptotics of the first and second moments of the number TN of coupons that a collector has to buy in order to find all N existing different coupons as N → ∞. The probabilities (occurring frequencies) of the coupons can be quite arbitrary. From these asymptotics we obtain the leading behavior of the variance V[TN] of TN (see Theorems 3.1 and 4.4). Then, we combine our results with the general limit theorems of Neal in order to derive the limit distribution of TN (appropriately normalized), which, for a large class of probabilities, turns out to be the standard Gumbel distribution. We also give various illustrative examples.