Machine-learning prediction for mean motion resonance behaviour – The planar case

Author:

Li Xin1,Li Jian23,Xia Zhihong Jeff4,Georgakarakos Nikolaos56

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics and Data Science, Southern University of Science and Technology of China, No 1088, Xueyuan Rd., Xili, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518055, PR China

2. School of Astronomy and Space Science, Nanjing University, 163 Xianlin Avenue, Nanjing 210023, PR China

3. Key Laboratory of Modern Astronomy and Astrophysics in Ministry of Education, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, PR China

4. Department of Mathematics, Northwestern University, 2033 Sheridan Road, Evanston, IL 60208, USA

5. New York University Abu Dhabi, PO Box 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

6. Center for Astro, Particle and Planetary Physics (CAP3), New York University Abu Dhabi, PO Box 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Abstract

ABSTRACT Most recently, machine learning has been used to study the dynamics of integrable Hamiltonian systems and the chaotic 3-body problem. In this work, we consider an intermediate case of regular motion in a non-integrable system: the behaviour of objects in the 2:3 mean motion resonance with Neptune. We show that, given initial data from a short 6250 yr numerical integration, the best-trained artificial neural network (ANN) can predict the trajectories of the 2:3 resonators over the subsequent 18 750 yr evolution, covering a full libration cycle over the combined time period. By comparing our ANN’s prediction of the resonant angle to the outcome of numerical integrations, the former can predict the resonant angle with an accuracy as small as of a few degrees only, while it has the advantage of considerably saving computational time. More specifically, the trained ANN can effectively measure the resonant amplitudes of the 2:3 resonators, and thus provides a fast approach that can identify the resonant candidates. This may be helpful in classifying a huge population of KBOs to be discovered in future surveys.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

National Key Research and Development Program of China

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Space and Planetary Science,Astronomy and Astrophysics

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