Misperceptions, Depression, and Voting for Election Deniers in the United States

Author:

Baum Matthew A1ORCID,Druckman James N2,Ognyanova Katherine3ORCID,Schulman Jonathan4

Affiliation:

1. Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University , Cambridge, MA , USA

2. Department of Political Science, University of Rochester , Rochester, NY , USA

3. School of Communication & Information, Rutgers University , New Brunswick, NJ , USA

4. Department of Political Science, Northwestern University , Evanston, IL , USA

Abstract

Abstract Two of the most significant concerns about the contemporary United States are the erosion of democratic institutions and the high rate of depression. We provide evidence connecting these phenomena. We use a survey (N = 11,517) to show a relationship between misperceptions (about COVID-19 vaccines) and voting, in 2022, for gubernatorial candidates who denied or cast doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election results. We further predict and find that the presence of moderately severe-to-severe depressive symptoms exacerbates the relationship between misperceptions and voting for election deniers or doubters. The results offer insight into the links between misperceptions, depression, and democratic backsliding (i.e., supporting candidates who challenge election results). We also contribute to a growing line of research on how mental health affects democratic functioning, potentially worldwide.

Funder

National Science Foundation

Peter G. Peterson Foundation

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

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