Are we nearly there yet? New technology adoption and labor demand in Peru

Author:

Novella Rafael12ORCID,Rosas-Shady David3,Alvarado Alfredo4

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Education, University College London , 55-59 Gordon Square, London WC1H 0NU, UK

2. Oxford Department of International Development, University of Oxford , 3 Mansfield Road, Oxford OX1 3TB, UK

3. Labor Markets and Social Security Division, Inter-American Development Bank , 1300 New York Avenue, N.W., Washington D.C. 20577, USA

4. Department of Economics, Pontifical Catholic University of Peru , Av. Universitaria 1801, Lima 15088, Peru

Abstract

Abstract Forecasts about the effects of new technologies on labor demand are generally pessimistic. However, little is known about the current level of technology adoption and its effect on labor demand, particularly in developing countries. This paper exploits a national representative employer survey and administrative data from Peru to offer empirical evidence in this regard. Our results show that the adoption of new technologies by firms is still incipient in the country. However, when adopted, they slightly reduce the demand for workers in the medium term, particularly those in high-skilled and non-routine occupations, with a temporary job contract, and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Public Administration,Geography, Planning and Development

Reference74 articles.

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4. The Race Between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment;Acemoglu;American Economic Review,2018

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