Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score

Author:

,Dajti I,Valenzuela J I,Boccalatte L A,Gemelli N A,Smith D E,Dudi-Venkata N N,Kroon H M,Sammour T,Roberts M,Mitchell D,Lah K,Pearce A,Morton A,Dawson A C,Drane A,Sharpin C,Nataraja R M,Pacilli M,Cox D R A,Muralidharan V,Riddiough G E,Clarke E M,Jamel W,Qin K R,Pockney P,Cope D,Egoroff N,Lott N,Putnis S,De Robles S,Ang Z,Mitteregger M,Uranitsch S,Stiegler M,Seitinger G,Aigner F,Lumenta D B,Nischwitz P S,Richtig E,Pau M,Srekl-Filzmaier P,Eibinger N,Michelitsch B,Fediuk M,Papinutti A,Seidel G,Kahn J,Cohnert T U,Messner D,Öfner F,Presl J,Varga M,Weitzendorfer M,Emmanuel K,Binder A D,Zimmermann M,Holawe S,Nkenke E,Grimm C,Kranawetter M,Rahman Mitul A,Islam N,Karim S,Komen N,Putnis S,De Robles S,Ang E,De Praetere H,Tollens T,Schols G,Smets C,Haenen L,Quintens J,Van Belle K,Van Ramshorst G H,Pattyn P,Desender L,Martens T,Van de Putte D,Lerut P,Grimonprez A,Janssen M,De Smul G,Wallaert P,Van den Eynde J,Oosterlinck W,Van den Eynde R,Sermon A,Boeckxstaens A,Cordonnier A,De Coster J,Jaekers J,Politis C,Miserez M,Duchateau N,De Gheldere C,Flamey N,Pattyn P,Christiano A,Guidi B,Minussi A L,Castro S,Okoba W,Maldonado F H R,Oliveira P,Baldasso T,Santos L,Gomes G M A,Buarque I L,Pol-Fachin L,Bezerra T S,Barros A V,da Silva A M R,Leite A L S,Silvestre D W A,Ferro C C,Araujo M S,Lopes L M,Damasceno P D,Araujo D H S,Laporte G,Salem M C,Guimaraes-Filho M A C,Nacif L,Flumignan R L G,Nakano L C U,Kuramoto D A B,Aidar A L S,Pereda M R,Correia R M,Santos B C,Carvalho A A,Amorim J E,Guedes Neto H J,Areias L L,Sousa A F,Flumignan C D Q,Lustre W G,Moreno D H,Barros N,Baptista-Silva J C C,Matos L L,Kowaski L P,Kulcsar M A V,Nunes K S,Teixeira M F,Nunes R L,Ijichi T R,Kim N J,Marreiro A,Muller B,Barakat Awada J,Baiocchi G,Kowalski L P,Vartanian J G,Makdissi F B,Aguiar S,Marques N,Carvalho G B,Marques T M D M,Abdallah E A,Zurstrassen C E,Gross J L,Zequi S C,Gonçalves B T,Santos S S,Duprat J P,Coimbra F J F,Cicco R,Takeda F,Cecconello I,Ribeiro U,Gatti A,Oliva R,Nardi C,Slavchev M,Atanasov B,Belev N,Dell A,Bigam D,Dajani K,Al Riyami S,Martin J,Cheng D,Yang H,Fayad A,Carrier F M,Amzallag E,Desroches J,Ruel M,Caminsky N G,Boutros M,Moon J,Wong E G,Vanounou T,Pelletier J,Wong S,Girsowicz E,Bayne J,Obrand D,Gill H,Steinmetz O,MacKenzie K,Lukaszewski M,Jamjoum G,Richebé P,Verdonck O,Discepola S,Godin N,Idrissi M,Lecluyse V,Côté G,Demyttenaere S,Garfinkle R,Boutros M,Kouyoumdjian A,Boutros M,Dumitra S,Moon J,Wong E G,Khwaja K,Luo L,Lukaszewski M,Gill H,Berry G,Liberman A S,Girsowicz E,Bayne J,Obrand D,Steinmetz O,MacKenzie K,Schmid S,Spicer J,Al Farsi M,Abou-Khalil J,Couture E,Mohammadi S,Tremblay H,Gagné N,Bergeron A,Turgeon A F,Costerousse O,Bellemare D,Babin C,Blier C,Wood M L,Persad A,Groot G,Pham H,D'Aragon F,Carbonneau E,Bouchard M,Masse M,Pesant F,Héroux J,Karanicolas P,Hallet J,Nadler A,Nathens A,Ko M,Brar A,Mayson K,Kidane B,Srinathan S,Escudero M I,Reyes J T,Modolo M M,Ramirez Nieto P,Sepulveda R,Bolbarán A,Molero A,Ruiz I,Reyes G P,Salas R,Suazo C,Muñoz R,Grasset E,Inzunza M,Besser N,Irarrázaval M J,Jarry C,Bellolio F,Romero Manqui C A,Ruiz Esquide M,Fuentes T,Campos J,Perez Rivera C J,Cabrera P A,Pinilla R E,Guevara O,Jimenez Ramirez L J,Velasquez Cuasquen B G,Herrera Mora D R,Bonilla A,Diaz S,Manrique E,Facundo H,Velez Bernal J L,ángel J,García M,Guzmán L,Lehmann C,Cervera S,Trujillo Sanchez L M,Guevara R,Valbuena D,Suarez L,Jimenez G,Velandia A,Vargas J,Espinosa J,Rey S,Mendoza Quevedo J,Calvache J A,Orozco-Chamorro C M,Sánchez-Gómez T A,Rojas-Tejada D A,Mihanovic J,Bakmaz B,Rakvin I,Sulen N,Andabaka T,Luksic I,Mamic M,Martinek L,Skrovina M,Žatecký J,Peteja M,Kristensen H Ø,Mekhael M,Christensen P,Westh L,Smith H,Haugstvedt A F,JÖnsson M L,Crespo A,Batista S,Rodriguez-Abreu J,Tactuk N,Diaz-Delgado P J,Rivas R,Sarmiento-Bobadilla J A,Ashoush F,Samir Abdelaal A,Qatora M S,Elsayed Hewalla M E,Metwalli M,Atta R,Abdelmajeed A,Abosamak N E,Sabry A,Shehata S,Sallam I,Amira G,Sherief M,Sherif A,Salem H,Hamdy R,Aboulkassem H,Ghaly G,Sherif G,Morsi A,Abdelrahman A,Omnia A,Tawheed A,El Kassas M,Omar W,Abdelsamed A,Seleim A,Salem H,Azzam A Y,ElFiky M,Nabil A,Ibraheem M,Ghaly G,ElDeeb M,Fawzy M,Hamed H,Emile S,Elfallal A,Elfeki H,Shalaby M,Sakr A,Alrahawy M,Atif H,Sakr A,Soltan H,Sayed A K,Salah A,Atiya A,Wassim K,Esmail E,Khalaf M,Eldaly A,Ghoneim A,Hawila A,Badr H,Elhalaby I,Abdel-bari M,Elbahnasawy M,Hamada M K,Morsy M S,Hammad M,Hammad M,Essa M,Fayed M T,Elzoghby M,Rady M,Hamad O,Salman S,Sarsik S,Abd-elsalam S,Gamal Badr S,El-Masry Y,Moahmmed M M H,Hailu S,Wolde A,Mengesha M,Nida S,Workneh M,Ahmed M Y,Fisseha T,Kassa D,Zeleke H,Admasu A,Laeke T,Tirsit A,Gessesse M,Addissie A,Bekele D,Kauppila J H,Sarjanoja E,Testelin S,Dakpé S,Devauchelle B,Bettoni J,Lavagen N,Schmitt F,Lemée J M,Boucher S,Breheret R,Kün-Darbois J D,Kahn A,Gueutier A,Bigot P,Borraccino B,Lakkis Z,Doussot A,Heyd B,Manfredelli S,Mathieu P,Paquette B,Turco C,Barrabe A,Louvrier A,Moszkowicz D,Giovinazzo D,Bretagnol F,Police A,Charre L,Volpin E,Braham H,El Arbi N,Villefranque V,Bendjemar L,Girard E,Abba J,Trilling B,Chebaro A,Lecolle K,Truant S,El Amrani M,Zerbib P,Pruvot F R,Mathieu D,Surmei E,Mattei L,Marin H,Christou N,Ballouhey Q,Ferrero P,Coste Mazeau P,Tricard J,Barrat B,Taibi A,Usseglio J,Laloze J,Salle H,Fourcade L,Duchalais E,Regenet N,Rigaud J,Waast D,Denis W,Malard O,Buffenoir K,Espitalier F,Ferron C,Varenne Y,Crenn V,De Vergie S,Cristini J,Samarut E,Tzedakis S,Bouche P A,Gaujoux S,Kantor E,Gossot D,Seguin-Givelet A,Fuks D,Grigoroiu M,Sanchez Salas R,Cathelineau X,Macek P,Barbé Y,Rozet F,Barret E,Mombet A,Cathala N,Brian E,Zadegan F,Conso C,Blanc T,Broch A,Sarnacki S,Ali L,Bonnard A,Peycelon M,Hervieux E,Clermidi P,Maisonneuve E,Aubry E,Thomin A,Langlais T,Passot G,Glehen O,Cotte E,Lifante J C,De Simone B,Chouillard E,Arnaud A P,Violas P,Bergeat D,Merdrignac A,Arnaud A P,Scalabre A,Perotto L O,Le Roy B,Haddad E,Vermersch S,Ezanno A C,Barbier O,Vigouroux F,Malgras B,Aime A,Seeliger B,Mutter D,Philouze G,Pessaux P,Germain A,Chanty H,Ayav A,Kassir R,Von Theobald P,Sauvat F,O'Connor J,Mayombo Idiata M,O'Connor Z,Tchoba S,Modabber A,Winnand P,HÖlzle F,Sommer B,Shiban E,Wolf S,Anthuber M,Sommer F,Kaemmerer D,Schreiber T,Kamphues C,Lauscher J C,Schineis C,Loch F N,Beyer K,Nasser S,Sehouli J,HÖhn P,Braumann C,Reinkemeier F,Uhl W,Weitz J,Bork U,Welsch T,Praetorius C,Korn S,Distler M,Fluegen G,Knoefel W T,Vay C,Golcher H,Grützmann R,Binder J,Meister P,Gallinat A,Paul A,Schnitzbauer A A,Thoenissen P,El Youzouri H,Schreckenbach T,Nguyen T A,Eberbach H,Bayer J,Erdle B,Sandkamp R,Nitschke C,Izbicki J,Uzunoglu F G,Koenig D,Gosau M,BÖttcher A,Heuer A,Klatte T O,Priemel M,Betz C S,Burg S,MÖckelmann N,Busch C J,Bewarder J,Zeller N,Smeets R,Thole S,Vollkommer T,Speth U,Stangenberg M,Hakami I,Boeker C,Mall J,Schardey H M,von Ahnen T,von Ahnen M,Brunner U,Tapking C,Kneser U,Hirche C,Jung M,Kowalewski K F,Kienle P,Reissfelder C,Seyfried S,Herrle F,Hardt J,Galata C,Birgin E,Rahbari N,Vassos N,Stoleriu M G,Hatz R,Albertsmeier M,BÖrner N,Lampert C,Werner J,Kuehlmann B,Prantl L,Brunner S M,Schlitt H J,Brennfleck F,Pfister K,Oikonomou K,Reinhard T,Nowak K,Ronellenfitsch U,Kleeff J,Delank K S,Michalski C W,Szabo G,Widyaningsih R,Stavrou G A,Bschorer R,Mielke J,Peschel T,KÖnigsrainer A,Quante M,LÖffler M W,Yurttas C,Doerner J,Seiberth R,Bouchagier K,Klimopoulos S,Paspaliari D,Stylianidis G,Syllaios A,Baili E,Schizas D,Liakakos T,Charalabopoulos A,Zografos C,Spartalis E,Manatakis D K,Tasis N,Antonopoulou M I,Xenaki S,Xynos E,Chrysos E,Athanasakis E,Tsiaousis J,Lostoridis E,Tourountzi P,Tzovaras G,Tepetes K,Zacharoulis D,Baloyiannis I,Perivoliotis K,Hajiioannou J,Korais C,Gkrinia E,Skoulakis C E,Saratziotis A,Koukoura O,Symeonidis D,Diamantis A,Tsoulfas G,Christou C D,Tooulias A,Papadopoulos V,Anthoulakis C,Grimbizis G,Zouzoulas D,Tsolakidis Tatsis D,Christidis P,Loutzidou L,Ioannidis O,Astreidis I,Antoniou A,Antoniadis K,Vachtsevanos K,Paraskevopoulos K,Kalaitsidou I,Alexoudi V,Stavroglou A,Mantevas A,Michailidou D,Grivas T,Deligiannidis D,Politis S,Barrios Duarte A,Portilla A L,Lowey M J,Recinos G,Lopez Muralles I,Siguantay M A,Estrada E E,Aguilera-Arévalo M L,Cojulun J M,Echeverría-Dávila G,Marín C,Icaza de Marín G C,Novak Z,Echim T,Suszták N,Banky B,Kembuan G,Pajan H,Islam A A,Rahim F,Safari H,Mozafari M,Brouki Milan P,Tizmaghz A,Rezaei Tavirani M,Hussein R,Fleming C,O'Brien S,Kayyal M Y,Daly A,Killeen S,Corrigan M,De Marchi J,Hill A,Farrell T,Davis N F,Kearney D,Nelson T,Maguire P J,Barry C,Farrell R,Smith L A,Mohan H M,Mehigan B J,McCormick P,Larkin J O,Fahey B A,Rogers A,Donlon N,O'Sullivan H,Nugent T,Reynolds J V,Donohue C,Shokuhi P,Ravi N,Fitzgerald C,Lennon P,Timon C,Kinsella J,Smith J,Boyle T,Alazawi D,Connolly E,Butt W,Croghan S M,Manecksha R P,Fearon N,Winter D,Heneghan H,Maguire D,Gallagher T,Conlon K,Kennedy N,Martin S,Kennelly R,Hanly A,Ng K C,Fagan J,Geary E,Cullinane C,Hanly A,Carrington E,Geraghty J,McDermott E,Pritchard R,McPartland D,Boland M,Stafford A,Maguire D,Geoghegan J,Elliott J A,Ridgway P F,Gillis A E,Bass G A,Neary P C,O'Riordan J M,Kavanagh D O,Reynolds I S,Conlon K,Joyce D P,Boyle E,Egan B,Whelan M,Elkady R,Tierney S,Connelly T M,Earley H,Umair M,O'Connell C,Manecksha R P,Thomas A Z,Rice D,Madden A,Bashir Y,Creavin B,Cullivan O,Owens P,Canas-Martinez A,Murphy C,Pickett L,Murphy B,Mastrosimone A,Beddy D,Arumugasamy M,Allen M,Aremu M,McCarthy C,O’Connor C,O'Connor D B,Kent E,Malone F,Geary M,McKevitt K L,Lowery A J,Ryan é J,Aherne T M,Fowler A,Hassanin A,Hogan A M,Collins C G,Finnegan L,Carroll P A,Kerin M J,Walsh S R,Nally D,Peirce C,Coffey J C,Cunningham R M,Tormey S,Hardy N P,Neary P M,Muallem-Kalmovich L,Kugler N,Lavy R,Zmora O,Horesh N,Vergari R,Mochet S,Barmasse R,Usai A,Morelli L,Picciariello A,Papagni V,Altomare D F,Colledan M,Zambelli M F,Tornese S,Camillo A,Rausa E,Bianco F,Lucianetti A,Prucher G M,Baietti A M,Ruggiero F,Maremonti P,Neri F,Ricci S,Biasini M,Zarabini A G,Belvedere A,Bernante P,Bertoglio P,Boussedra S,Brunocilla E,Cipriani R,Cisternino G,De Crescenzo E,De Iaco P,Della Gatta A N,Dondi G,Frio F,Jovine E,Mineo Bianchi F,Neri J,Parlanti D,Perrone A M,Pezzuto A P,Pignatti M,Pilu G,Pinto V,Poggioli G,Ravaioli M,Rottoli M,Schiavina R,Serenari M,Serra M,Solli P,Taffurelli M,Tanzanu M,Tesei M,Violante T,Zanotti S,Tonini V,Sartarelli L,Cervellera M,Gori A,Armatura G,Scotton G,Patauner S,Frena A,Podda M,Pisanu A,Esposito G,Frongia F,Abate E,Laface L,Casati M,Schiavo M,Casiraghi T,Sammarco G,Gallo G,Vescio G,Fulginiti S,Scorcia V,Giannaccare G,Carnevali A,Giuffrida M C,Marano A,Palagi S,Di Maria Grimaldi S,Testa V,Peluso C,Borghi F,Simonato A,Puppo A,D'Agruma M,Chiarpenello R,Pellegrino L,Maione F,Cianflocca D,Pruiti Ciarello V,Giraudo G,Gelarda E,Dalmasso E,Abrate A,Daniele A,Ciriello V,Rosato F,Garnero A,Leotta L,Giacometti M,Zonta S,Lomiento D,Taglietti L,Dester S,Compagnoni B,Viotti F,Cazzaniga R,Del Giudice R,Mazzotti F,Pasini F,Ugolini G,Fabbri N,Feo C V,Righini E,Gennari S,Chiozza M,Anania G,Urbani A,Koleva Radica M,Carcoforo P,Portinari M,Sibilla M,Anastasi A,Bartalucci B,Bellacci A,Canonico G,Capezzuoli L,Di Martino C,Ipponi P,Linari C,Montelatici M,Nelli T,Spagni G,Tirloni L,Vitali A,Agostini C,Alemanno G,Bartolini I,Bergamini C,Bruscino A,Checcucci C,De Vincenti R,Di Bella A,Fambrini M,Fortuna L,Maltinti G,Muiesan P,Petraglia F,Prosperi P,Ringressi M N,Risaliti M,Sorbi F,Taddei A,Lizzi V,Vovola F,Arminio A,Cotoia A,Sarni A L,Familiari P,D'Andrea G,Picotti V,Bàmbina F,Fontana T,Barra F,Ferrero S,Gustavino C,Kratochwila C,Ferraiolo A,Costantini S,Batistotti P,Aprile A,Almondo C,Ball L,Robba C,Scabini S,Pertile D,Massobrio A,Soriero D,D'Ugo S,Depalma N,Spampinato M G,Lippa L,Gambacciani C,Santonocito O S,Aquila F,Pieri F,Ballabio M,Bisagni P,Longhi M,Armao T,Madonini M,Gagliano A,Pizzini P,Costanzi A,Confalonieri M,Monteleone M,Colletti G,Frattaruolo C,Mari G,Spinelli A,Mercante G,Spriano G,Gaino F,Ferreli F,De Virgilio A,Rossi V,Carvello M M,Di Candido F,Kurihara H,Marrano E,Torzilli G,Castoro C,Carrano F M,Martinelli F,Macchi A,Fiore M,Pasquali S,Cioffi S P B,Baia M,Abatini C,Sarre C,Mosca A,Biasoni D,Gronchi A,Citterio D,Mazzaferro V,Cadenelli P,Gennaro M,Capizzi V,Guaglio M,Sorrentino L,Bogani G,Sarpietro G,Giannini L,Comini L V,Rolli L,Folli S,Raspagliesi F,Piazza C,Cosimelli M,Salvioni R,Antonelli B,Baldari L,Boni L,Cassinotti E,Pignataro L,Rossi G,Torretta S,Beltramini G A,Gianni' A,Tagliabue M,De Berardinis R,Pietrobon G,Chu F,Cenciarelli S,Adamoli L,Ansarin M,Fumagalli Romario U,Mastrilli F,Mariani N M,Nicastro V,Cellerino P,Colombo F,Frontali A,Bondurri A,Guerci C,Maffioli A,Ferrario L,Candiani M,Bonavina G,Ottolina J,Valsecchi L,Mortini P,Gagliardi F,Piloni M,Medone M,Negri G,Bandiera A,De Nardi P,Sileri P,Carlucci M,Pelaggi D,Rosati R,Vignali A,Parise P,Elmore U,Tamini N,Nespoli L C,Rennis M,Pitoni L,Chiappetta M F,Vico E,Fruscio R,Grassi T,Sasia D,Migliore M,Gattolin A,Rimonda R,Travaglio E,Olearo E,Tufo A,Marra E,Maida P,Marte G,Tammaro P,Bianco F,Incollingo P,Izzo F,Belli A,Patrone R,Albino V,Leongito M,Granata V,Piccirillo M,Palaia R,Francone E,Gentilli S,Nikaj H,Fiorini A,Norcini C,Chessa A,Marino M V,Mirabella A,Vaccarella G,Musini L,Ampollini L,Bergonzani M,Varazzani A,Bellanti L,Domenichini M,Rossi G,Cabrini E,Fornasari A,Freyrie A,Dejana D O,D'Angelo G,Bertoli G,Di Lella F,Bocchialini G,Falcioni M,Lanfranco D,Poli T,Giuffrida M,Annicchiarico A,Perrone G,Catena F,Raffaele A,De Manzoni Garberini A,Baldini E,Conti L,Ribolla M,Capelli P,Isolani S M,Maniscalco P,Cauteruccio M,Ciatti C,Puma Pagliarello C,Gattoni S,Galleano R,Malerba M,Ciciliot M,Farnesi F,Calabrò M,Pipitone Federico N S,Lunghi E G,Muratore A,Morelli L,Di Franco G,Palmeri M,Tartaglia D,Coccolini F,Chiarugi M,Simoncini T,Gadducci A,Caretto M,Giannini A,Perutelli A,Domenici L,Garibaldi S,Capanna R,Andreani L,Furbetta N,Guadagni S,Bianchini M,Gianardi D,Pinotti E,Montuori M,Carissimi F,Baronio G,Zizzo M,Castro Ruiz C,Annessi V,Montella M T,Falco G,Mele S,Ferrari G,Mastrofilippo V,Mandato V D,Aguzzoli L,Corbellini C,Baldi C,Sampietro G M,Palini G M,Zanini N,Garulli G,Barone R,Murgese A,Mungo S,Grasso M,Marafante C,Birolo S L,Moggia E,Caccetta M,Masciandaro A,Deirino A,Garino M,Gordini L,Lombardi C P,Marzi F,Marra A A,Ratto C,Di Muro M,Litta F,De Simone V,Cozza V,Rosa F,Agnes A,Parello A,Alfieri S,Sganga G,Lapolla P,Mingoli A,De Toma G,Fiori E,La Torre F,Sapienza P,Brachini G,Cirillo B,Iannone I,Zambon M,Chiappini A,Meneghini S,Fonsi G B,Cicerchia P M,Bruzzaniti P,Santoro A,Frati A,Marruzzo G,Ribuffo D,Sagnotta A,Marino Cosentino L,Mancini S,Lisi G,Spoletini D,Bellato V,Campanelli M,Sica G,Siragusa L,Bonavina L,Asti E,Bernardi D,Lovece A,Perra T,Porcu A,Fancellu A,Feo C F,Scanu A M,Tuminello F,Galleano R,Franceschi A,Langone A,Fleres F,Spolini A,Bordoni P,Franzini M,Clarizia G,Grechi A,Longhini A,Grossi U,Novello S,Zanus G,Romano M,Rossi S,Pirozzolo G,Recordare A,Paiella S,Turri G,Rattizzato S,Campagnaro T,Guglielmi A,Pedrazzani C,Ruzzenente A,Poletto E,Conci S,Casetti L,Fontana M,Salvia R,Malleo G,Esposito A,Landoni L,De Pastena M,Bassi C,Tuveri M,Nobile S,Marchegiani G,Bortolasi L,Sambugaro E,Malavolta M,Moretto G,Impellizzeri H,Inama M,Barugola G,Ascari F,Ruffo G,Granieri S,Cotsoglou C,Berselli M,Desio M,Marchionini V,Cocozza E,Di Saverio S,Ietto G,Iovino D,Carcano G,Ayasra F,Qasem A,Ayasra Y,Al-Masri M,Abou Chaar M K,Al-Najjar H,Ghandour K,Alawneh F,Abdel Jalil R,Abdel Al S,Elayyan M,Ghanem R,Lataifeh I,Alsaraireh O,Abu Za’nouneh F J,Fahmawee T,Ibrahim A,Obeidat K,Albader I,Alabbad J,Albader M A S,Bouhuwaish A,Taher A S,Omar M S M,Abdulwahed E,Biala M,Morgom M,A Elhadi,A Alarabi,Msherghi A,F Elhajdawe,Alsoufi A,Salamah A,Salama H,Bulugma M,Almabrouk H,Venskutonis D,Dainius E,Kubiliute E,Bradulskis S,Parseliunas A,Kutkevicius J,Subocius A,Cheong Y J,Masood M S,Ngo C W,Saravanan R,Abdul Maei N,Yanowsky Reyes G,Orozco Perez J,Damian R,Santana Ortiz R,Colunga Tinajero C A,Cordera F,Gómez-Pedraza A,Maffuz-Aziz 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Abstract

To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.

Funder

National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Global Health Research Unit

Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland

Bowel & Cancer Research, Bowel Research UK

Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons

British Association of Surgical Oncology

British Gynaecological Cancer Society

European Society of Coloproctology

Medtronic

NIHR Academy

The Urology Foundation

Sarcoma UK

Vascular Society for Great Britain and Ireland, Yorkshire Cancer Research

MRC Health Data Research UK

UK Research and Innovation

Department of Health and Social Care (England) and the devolved administrations

Wellcome Trust 4-year studentship programme in mechanisms of inflammatory disease (MIDAS

National Health Service

NIHR

UK Department of Health and Social Care

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Surgery

Reference14 articles.

1. Elective surgery cancellations due to the COVID-19 pandemic: global predictive modelling to inform surgical recovery plans;Br J Surg,2020

2. Mortality and pulmonary complications in patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection: an international cohort study;Lancet,2020

3. Elective cancer surgery in COVID-19-free surgical pathways during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: an International, Multicenter, Comparative Cohort Study;Glasbey;J Clin Oncol,2021

4. Preoperative nasopharyngeal swab testing and postoperative pulmonary complications in patients undergoing elective surgery during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic;Br J Surg,2020

5. Surgery and COVID-19;Kibbe;JAMA,2020

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