Brief Communication: An update of the article "Modeling flood damages under climate change conditions – a case study for Germany"
Author:
Hattermann F. F., Huang S., Burghoff O., Hoffmann P.ORCID, Kundzewicz Z. W.
Abstract
Abstract. In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood related losses can be expected in future, warmer, climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one Global Climate Model (GCM) was used as large scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCM models are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modeling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate driver shows trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Reference21 articles.
1. Böhm, U., Kücken, M., Ahrens, W., Block, A., Hauffe, D., Keuler, K., Rockel, B., and Will, A.: CLM-the climate version of LM: brief description and long-term applications, COSMO Newsletter, 6, 225–235, 2006. 2. Collins, M., Booth, B. B., Harris, G. R., Murphy, J. M., Sexton, D. M., and Webb, M. J.: Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change, Clim. Dynam., 27, 127–147, 2006. 3. Gobiet, A., Suklitsch, M., and Heinrich, G.: The effect of empirical-statistical correction of intensity-dependent model errors on the climate change signal, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 12, 5671–5701, https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-12-5671-2015, 2015. 4. Hattermann, F. F., Krysanova, V., Wechsung, F., and Wattenbach, M.: Integrating groundwater dynamics in regional hydrological modelling, Environ. Modell. Softw., 19, 1039–1051, 2004. 5. Hattermann, F. F., Wattenbach, M., Krysanova, V., and Wechsung, F.: Runoff simulations on the macroscale with the ecohydrological model SWIM in the Elbe catchment-validation and uncertainty analysis, Hydrol. Process., 19, 693–714, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5625, 2005.
|
|