Potential sources of uncertainties in nuclear reaction modeling

Abstract

Nowadays, reliance on nuclear models to interpolate or extrapolate between experimental data points is very common, for nuclear data evaluation. It is also well known that the knowledge of nuclear reaction mechanisms is at best approximate, and that their modeling relies on many parameters which do not have a precise physical meaning outside of their specific implementations in nuclear model codes: they carry both specific physical information, and effective information that is related to the deficiencies of the model itself. Therefore, to improve the uncertainties associated with evaluated nuclear data, the models themselves must be refined so that their parameters can be rigorously derived from theory. Examples of such a process will be given for a wide sample of models like: detailed theory of compound nucleus decay through multiple nucleon or gamma emission, or refinements to the width fluctuation factor of the Hauser-Feshbach model. All these examples will illustrate the reduction in the effective components of nuclear model parameters, through the reduced dynamics of parameter adjustment needed to account for experimental data. The significant progress, recently achieved for the non-fission channels, also highlights the difficult path ahead to improve our quantitative understanding of fission in a similar way: by relying on microscopic theory.