A Model in Chinese Population Growth Prediction

Author:

Xuan Hai Yan1,Zhang An Qi1,Yang Na Na1

Affiliation:

1. Lanzhou University of Technology

Abstract

Firstly, we calculated several statistics relating to the population forecast. Secondly, ba-sed on the Logistic prediction models, against Logistic model defects, we obtained the improved prediction model. Finally, using China's total population in 2004 as the initial population, we predict the total population of China in the next 30 years and in 2050 year by applying the model.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Reference5 articles.

1. U.N. Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs: Foreign Policy Bulletin, Vol. 9 (1998), No. 2, p.115.

2. W. Lutz, W. Sanderson and S. Scherbov: Nature, Vol. 412 (2001) No. 6846, p.543.

3. W. Lutz, S. KC: Science, Vol. 333 (2011) No. 6042, p.587.

4. R. Lee: Science, Vol. 333 (2011) No. 6042, p.569.

5. J.M. Cushing: Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol. 60 (1997) No. 3, p.747.

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