Abstract
In this paper, the failure probability is estimated by using the FORM (first order
reliability method), the SORM (second order reliability method) and the Monte Carlo simulation to
evaluate the reliability of the corroded pipeline. It is found that the FORM technique is more
effective in estimating the failure probability than the SORM technique for B31G and MB31G
models with three different corrosion models. Furthermore, it is noted that the difference between
the results of the FORM, the SORM and the Monte Carlo simulation decreases with the increase of
the exposure time.
Publisher
Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.
Subject
Mechanical Engineering,Mechanics of Materials,General Materials Science
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