An improved modified early warning score that incorporates the abdomen score for identifying multiple traumatic injury severity

Abstract

Background Rapid identification of trauma severity is essential for the timely triage of multiple trauma patients. Tools such as the modified early warning score (MEWS) are used for determining injury severity. Although the conventional MEWS is a good predictor of mortality, its performance assessing injury severity is moderate. This study hypothesized that adding an injury site severity-related score (e.g., abdomen score) may enhance the capability of the MEWS for identifying severe trauma. Method To validate the hypothesis, we propose an improved modified early warning score called MEWS-A, which incorporates an injury site-specific severity-related abdomen score to MEWS. The utility of MEWS and MEWS-A were retrospectively evaluated and compared for identifying trauma severity in adult multiple trauma patients admitted to the emergency department. Results We included 1,230 eligible multiple trauma patients and divided them into minor and severe trauma groups based on the injury severity score. Results of logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses showed that the MEWS-A had a higher area under the ROC curve (AUC: 0.81 95% CI [0.78–0.83]) than did the MEWS (AUC: 0.77 95% CI [0.74–0.79]), indicating that the MEWS-A is superior to the MEWS in identifying severe trauma. The optimal MEWS-A cut-off score is 4, with a specificity of 0.93 and a sensitivity of 0.54. MEWS-A ≥ 4 can be used as a protocol for decision-making in the emergency department. Conclusions Our study suggests that while the conventional MEWS is sufficient for predicting mortality risk, adding an injury site-specific score (e.g., abdomen score) can enhance its performance in determining injury severity in multiple trauma patients.