Modified Early Warning Score: Clinical Deterioration of Mexican Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19 and Chronic Disease

Author:

Santiago González Nicolás1ORCID,García-Hernández María de Lourdes2,Cruz-Bello Patricia2,Chaparro-Díaz Lorena3ORCID,Rico-González María de Lourdes2,Hernández-Ortega Yolanda2

Affiliation:

1. Hospital Regional de Alta Especialidad Ixtapaluca (HRAEI), Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México (UAEMex), Ixtapaluca 56530, Mexico

2. Facultad de Enfermería y Obstetricia, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México (UAEMéx), Toluca 50000, Mexico

3. Nursing Department, Faculty of Nursing, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Bogotá, Bogotá 111321, Colombia

Abstract

The objective was to evaluate the Modified Early Warning Score in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 plus chronic disease. Methods: Retrospective observational study, 430 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and chronic disease. Instrument, Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS). Data analysis, with Cox and logistic regression, to predict survival and risk. Results: Of 430 patients, 58.6% survived, and 41.4% did not. The risk was: low 53.5%, medium 23.7%, and high 22.8%. The MEWS score was similar between survivors 3.02, p 0.373 (95% CI: −0.225–0.597) and non-survivors 3.20 (95% CI: −0.224–0.597). There is a linear relationship between MEWS and mortality risk R 0.920, ANOVA 0.000, constant 4.713, and coefficient 4.406. The Cox Regression p 0.011, with a risk of deterioration of 0.325, with a positive coefficient, the higher the risk, the higher the mortality, while the invasive mechanical ventilation coefficient was negative −0.757. By providing oxygen and ventilation, mortality is lower. Conclusions: The predictive value of the modified early warning score in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 and chronic disease is not predictive with the MEWS scale. Additional assessment is required to prevent complications, especially when patients are assessed as low-risk.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Health Information Management,Health Informatics,Health Policy,Leadership and Management

Reference39 articles.

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2. INEGI (2023, May 01). Estadísticas de Defunciones Registradas en 2021. Available online: https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/saladeprensa/boletines/2022/EDR/EDR2021_10.pdf.

3. Características clínicas y comorbilidades asociadas a mortalidad en pacientes con COVID-19 en Coahuila (México);Rev. Clínica Española,2021

4. Risk factors for severity on admission and the disease progression during hospitalisation in a large cohort of patients with COVID-19 in Japan;Terada;BMJ Open,2021

5. Full and simplified assessment of left ventricular diastolic function in COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU: Feasibility, incidence, and association with mortality;Dezio;Echocardiography,2022

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