Development of a Fuzzy Diagnostic Model of Ischemic Disease of the Lower Limbs for Different Stages of Patient Management

Abstract

Ischemic disease has severe impact on patients which makes accurate diagnosis vital for health protection. Improving the quality of prediction of patients with ischemic extremity disease by using hybrid fuzzy model allows for early and accurate prognosis of the development of the disease at various stages. The prediction of critical ischemia of lower extremity (CLI) at various disease stages is complex problem due to inter-related factors. We developed hybrid fuzzy decision rules to classify ischemic severity using clinical thinking (natural intelligence) with artificial intelligence, which allows achieving a new quality in solving complex systemic problems and is innovative. In this study mathematical model was developed to classify the risk level of CLI into: subcritical ischemia, favorable outcome, questionable outcome, and unfavorable outcome. The prognosis is made using such complex indicators as confidence that the patient will develop gangrene of the lower extremity (unfavorable outcome), complex coefficient of variability, and reversibility of the ischemic process. Model accuracy was calculated using representative control samples that showed high diagnostic accuracy and specificity characterizing the quality of prediction are 0.9 and higher, which makes it possible to recommend their use in medical practice.