Officially Confirmed COVID-19 and Unreported COVID-19–Like Illness Death Counts: An Assessment of Reporting Discrepancy in Bangladesh

Author:

Ahamad Mazbahul G.1,Tanin Fahian2,Talukder Byomkesh3,Ahmed Monir U.4

Affiliation:

1. 1University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, Nebraska;

2. 2Independent Researcher, Sylhet, Bangladesh;

3. 3Dahdaleh Institute for Global Health Research, York University, Toronto, Canada;

4. 4Department of Economics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh

Abstract

ABSTRACTReporting discrepancies between officially confirmed COVID-19 death counts and unreported COVID-19–like illness (CLI) death counts have been evident across the world, including Bangladesh. Publicly available data were used to explore the differences between confirmed COVID-19 death counts and deaths with possible COVID-19 symptoms between March 2, 2020 and August 22, 2020. Unreported CLI death counts totaled more than half of the confirmed COVID-19 death counts during the study period. However, the reporting authority did not consider CLI deaths, which might produce incomplete and unreliable COVID-19 data and respective mortality rates. All deaths with possible COVID-19 symptoms need to be included in provisional death counts to better estimate the COVID-19 mortality rate and to develop data-driven COVID-19 response strategies. An urgent initiative is needed to prepare a comprehensive guideline for reporting COVID-19 deaths.

Publisher

American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene

Subject

Virology,Infectious Diseases,Parasitology

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