Retrieval of Peak Thunderstorm Wind Velocities Using WSR-88D Weather Radars

Abstract

Abstract The current study develops a variant of the VAD method to retrieve thunderstorm peak event velocities using low-elevation WSR-88D radar scans. The main challenge pertains to the localized nature of thunderstorm winds, which complicates single-Doppler retrievals as it dictates the use of a limited spatial scale. Since VAD methods assume constant velocity in the fitted section, it is important that retrieved sections do not contain background flow. Accordingly, the current study proposes an image processing method to partition scans into regions, representing events and the background flows, that can be retrieved independently. The study compares the retrieved peak velocities to retrievals using another VAD method. The proposed technique is found to estimate peak event velocities that are closer to measured ASOS readings, making it more suitable for historical analysis. The study also compares the results of retrievals from over 2600 thunderstorm events from 19 radar–ASOS station combinations that are less than 10 km away from the radar. Comparisons of probability distributions of peak event velocities for ASOS readings and radar retrievals showed good agreement for stations within 4 km from the radar while more distant stations had a higher bias toward retrieved velocities compared to ASOS velocities. The mean absolute error for velocity magnitude increases with height ranging between 1.5 and 4.5 m s−1. A proposed correction based on the exponential trend of mean errors was shown to improve the probability distribution comparisons, especially for higher velocity magnitudes.