Evaluation of Multisource Datasets in Characterizing Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation from 2001 to 2019 in China

Author:

Lu Jiayi1,Wang Kaicun2,Wu Guocan1,Mao Yuna1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. a State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

2. b Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China

Abstract

Abstract The spatiotemporal characteristics of extreme precipitation intensity are crucial for hydroclimatic studies. This study delineates the spatiotemporal distribution features of extreme precipitation intensity across China from 2001 to 2019 using the gridded daily precipitation dataset CN05.1, constructed from an observation network of over 2400 stations. Furthermore, we evaluate the reliability of 12 widely used precipitation datasets (including gauge-based, satellite retrieval, reanalysis, and fusion products) in monitoring extreme precipitation events. Our findings indicate the following: 1) CN05.1 reveals a consistent spatial distribution characterized by a decline in extreme precipitation intensity from the southeastern coastal regions toward the northwestern inland areas of China. From 2001 to 2019, more pronounced declining intensity trends are discernible in the northern and southwestern regions of China, whereas marked increasing trends manifest in the northeastern and the Yangtze River plain regions. National mean extreme precipitation indices consistently exhibit significant increasing trends throughout China. 2) Datasets based on station observations generally exhibit superior applicability concerning spatiotemporal distribution. 3) Multisource weighted precipitation fusion products effectively capture the temporal variability of extreme precipitation indices. 4) Satellite retrieval datasets exhibit notable performance disparities in representing various intensity indices. Most products tend to overestimate the increasing trends of national mean intensity indices. 5) Reanalysis datasets tend to overestimate extreme precipitation indices, and inadequately capture the trends. ERA5 and JRA-55 underestimate trends, while CFSR and MERRA-2 significantly overestimate the trends. These findings serve as a basis for selecting reliable precipitation datasets for extreme precipitation and hydrological simulation research in China. Significance Statement Extreme precipitation events have increasingly become more widespread, posing significant threats to human lives and property. Accurately understanding the spatiotemporal patterns of these events is imperative for effective mitigation. Despite the proliferation of precipitation products, their capacity to faithfully represent extreme events remains inadequately validated. In this study, we utilize a gauge-based dataset derived from over 2400 gauge stations across China to investigate the spatiotemporal changes in extreme precipitation events from 2001 to 2019. Subsequently, we conduct a rigorous evaluation of 12 widely used precipitation datasets to assess their efficacy in depicting extreme events. The results of this research offer valuable insights into the strengths and weaknesses of various precipitation products in depicting extreme events.

Funder

National Basic Research Program of China

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

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