1. Department of Environmental, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, Massachusetts, and International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, New York
2. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, New York
3. International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, and CEREGE, UMR 6635 CNRS, Aix-Marseilles University, Aix en Provence, and Institut Universitaire de France, Paris, France