Anthropogenic Climate Change Enhances the July 2021 Super-Heavy Rainfall Event in Central China

Author:

Ma Yuanyuan1,Hu Zhiyuan2,Li Chao3,Feng Taichen2,Meng Xianhong4,Dong Wenjie2

Affiliation:

1. Key Laboratory of Land Surface Process and Climate Change in Cold and Arid Regions, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, and School of Atmospheric Sciences, and Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System, Ministry of Education, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, China;

2. School of Atmospheric Sciences, and Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System, Ministry of Education, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory, Zhuhai, China;

3. Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, and School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China;

4. Key Laboratory of Land Surface Process and Climate Change in Cold and Arid Regions, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, and University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Abstract

According to our model simulations, anthropogenic climate change enhanced the total precipitation amount during the heavy rainfall event of 19–21 July 2021 in central China by 21.3% (95% confidence interval: 16.5%–29.5%).

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference22 articles.

1. Detectable intensification of hourly and daily scale precipitation extremes across eastern China;Chen, Y.,2021

2. A new mechanism for warm-season precipitation response to global warming based on convection-permitting simulations;Dai, A.,2020

3. Was the extended rainy winter 2018/19 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River driven by anthropogenic forcing?;Hu, Z.,2021

4. The heavy rain event of July 2018 in Japan enhanced by historical warming [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2018 from a Climate Perspective;Kawase, H.,2020

5. Was the record-breaking meiyu of 2020 enhanced by regional climate change?;Ma, Y.,2022a

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