problems and promises of deterministic extended range forecasting1

Author:

Smagorinsky Joseph1

Affiliation:

1. Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, ESSA, Princeton, N. J.

Abstract

The past 20 years have encompassed remarkable scientific and technical advances in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences which herald a new era for deterministically predicting atmospheric behavior. Many of the key innovations were directly influenced, if not originated by Harry Wexler during his very productive career. This paper will deal with a critique of recent progress in modelling the atmosphere-ocean system, some of the newly exposed problems, and the needs and expectations for the future.

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

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