Mitigating Climate Biases in the Midlatitude North Atlantic by Increasing Model Resolution: SST Gradients and Their Relation to Blocking and the Jet

Author:

Athanasiadis Panos J.1,Ogawa Fumiaki234,Omrani Nour-Eddine23,Keenlyside Noel235,Schiemann Reinhard67,Baker Alexander J.67,Vidale Pier Luigi67,Bellucci Alessio18,Ruggieri Paolo91,Haarsma Rein10,Roberts Malcolm11,Roberts Chris12,Novak Lenka13,Gualdi Silvio1

Affiliation:

1. a Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy

2. b University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway

3. c Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway

4. d Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan

5. e Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway

6. f National Centre for Atmospheric Science Reading, United Kingdom

7. g Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

8. h Istituto di Scienze dell’Atmosfera e del Clima (CNR-ISAC), Bologna, Italy

9. i Department of Physics and Astronomy, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy

10. j Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands

11. k Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom

12. l European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom

13. m Caltech, Pasadena, California

Abstract

Abstract Starting to resolve the oceanic mesoscale in climate models is a step change in model fidelity. This study examines how certain obstinate biases in the midlatitude North Atlantic respond to increasing resolution (from 1° to 0.25° in the ocean) and how such biases in sea surface temperature (SST) affect the atmosphere. Using a multimodel ensemble of historical climate simulations run at different horizontal resolutions, it is shown that a severe cold SST bias in the central North Atlantic, common to many ocean models, is significantly reduced with increasing resolution. The associated bias in the time-mean meridional SST gradient is shown to relate to a positive bias in low-level baroclinicity, while the cold SST bias causes biases also in static stability and diabatic heating in the interior of the atmosphere. The changes in baroclinicity and diabatic heating brought by increasing resolution lead to improvements in European blocking and eddy-driven jet variability. Across the multimodel ensemble a clear relationship is found between the climatological meridional SST gradients in the broader Gulf Stream Extension area and two aspects of the atmospheric circulation: the frequency of high-latitude blocking and the southern-jet regime. This relationship is thought to reflect the two-way interaction (with a positive feedback) between the respective oceanic and atmospheric anomalies. These North Atlantic SST anomalies are shown to be important in forcing significant responses in the midlatitude atmospheric circulation, including jet variability and the storm track. Further increases in oceanic and atmospheric resolution are expected to lead to additional improvements in the representation of Euro-Atlantic climate.

Funder

horizon 2020

joint uk beis/defra met office hadley centre climate programme

Trond Mohn Foundation

ROADMAP

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

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