An Improved One-Dimensional Bending Angle Forward Operator for the Assimilation of Radio Occultation Profiles in the Lower Troposphere

Abstract

Abstract Under very large vertical gradients of atmospheric refractivity, which are typical at the height of the planetary boundary layer, the assimilation of radio occultation (RO) observations into numerical weather prediction (NWP) models presents several serious challenges. In such conditions, the assimilation of RO bending angle profiles is an ill-posed problem, the uncertainty associated with the RO observations is higher, and the one-dimensional forward operator used to assimilate these observations has several theoretical deficiencies. As a result, a larger percentage of these RO observations are rejected at the NWP centers by existing quality control procedures, potentially limiting the benefits of this data type to improve weather forecasting in the lower troposphere. To address these problems, a new methodology that enables the assimilation of RO data to be extended to the lower moist troposphere has been developed. Challenges associated with larger atmospheric gradients of refractivity are partially overcome by a reformulation that has minimal effect at higher altitudes. As a first step toward this effort, this study presents both the theoretical development of this new methodology and a forecast impact assessment of it using the NCEP NWP system. Though using a conservative approach, benefits in the lower tropical troposphere are already noticeable. The encouraging results of this work open the potential for further exploitation and optimization of RO assimilation.