Affiliation:
1. Department of Economics, New York University
2. Department of Economics, Stony Brook University
Abstract
A seller trades with
q out of
n buyers who have valuations
a
1 ≥
a
2 ≥ ⋯ ≥
a
n
> 0 via sequential bilateral bargaining. When
q <
n, buyer payoffs vary across equilibria in the patient limit, but seller payoffs do not, and converge to maxl≤q+1[(a1+a2+⋯+al−1)/2+al+1+⋯+aq+1].
If
l
* is the (generically unique) maximizer of this optimization problem, then each buyer
i <
l
* trades with probability 1 at the fair price
a
i
/2, while buyers
i ≥
l
* are excluded from trade with positive probability. Bargaining with buyers who face the threat of exclusion is driven by a
sequential outside option principle: the seller can sequentially exercise the outside option of trading with the extra marginal buyer
q + 1, then with the new extra marginal buyer
q, and so on, extracting full surplus from each buyer in this sequence and enhancing the outside option at every stage. A seller who can serve all buyers (
q =
n) may benefit from creating scarcity by committing to exclude some remaining buyers as negotiations proceed. An
optimal exclusion commitment, within a general class, excludes a single buyer but maintains flexibility about which buyer is excluded. Results apply symmetrically to a buyer bargaining with multiple sellers.
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5. Arie, Guy, Paul L. E. Grieco, and Shiran Rachmilevitch (2017): “Nash Overpricing and Sequential Negotiations,” Report.
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