Quick Estimation Method of Property Damage and Human Casualty in the Event of a Large Earthquake

Author:

Oki Takuya, ,Osaragi Toshihiro,Sakamoto Yoho

Abstract

Techniques for quickly and easily estimating wide-area damage are required to support various activities for reducing damage in the event of a large earthquake. In this paper, using a wide-area evacuation simulator, we estimate property damage and human casualties in 32 densely built-up wooden residential areas in Tokyo, assuming a large earthquake. Furthermore, the relationships among local urban environment, property damage, and human casualties are analyzed using multiple regression analysis.

Publisher

Fuji Technology Press Ltd.

Subject

Engineering (miscellaneous),Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Reference10 articles.

1. T. Oki, T. Osaragi, and Y. Sakamoto, “Simulation Analysis on Relationships among Local Urban Characteristics, Property Damage, and Human Casualty in a Large Earthquake,” Papers and Proc. of the Geographic Information Systems Association, Vol.27, B-2-4, 2018 (in Japanese).

2. S. Iwase and F. Yamazaki, “Simplified Estimation Method for Building Damage due to Earthquakes,” J. of Japan Association for Earthquake Engineering, Vol.15, No.7, pp. 7_378-7_389, 2015 (in Japanese).

3. National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED), “Real-time Damage Estimation System and Disaster Prevention Information Sharing System among Government Ministries (SIP4D) and Future Developments (Part 1): Development of Real-time Damage Estimation, Disaster Information Collection, Analysis, and Utilization System,” SIP Disaster Prevention Symp., 2017, https://www.jst.go.jp/sip/dl/k08/sympo2017/koen_08.pdf (in Japanese) [accessed January 14, 2019]

4. T. Osaragi and T. Oki, “Wide-Area Evacuation Simulation Incorporating Rescue and Firefighting by Local Residents,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.12, No.2, pp. 296-310, 2017.

5. Y. Sakamoto, T. Osaragi, and T. Oki, “Wide-Area Evacuation Simulator and Comparison of Property and Human Damage at a Large Earthquake among Multiple Districts,” Summaries of Technical Papers of Annual Meeting Architectural Institute of Japan, F-1, pp. 1012-1013, 2018 (in Japanese).

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