Simulation of liver function enzymes as determinants of thyroidism: a novel ensemble machine learning approach

Abstract

Abstract Background Hormone production by the thyroid gland is a prime aspect of maintaining body homeostasis. In this study, the ability of single artificial intelligence (AI)-based models, namely multi-layer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), and Hammerstein–Weiner (HW) models, were used in the simulation of thyroidism status. The study's primary aim is to unveil the best performing model for the simulation of thyroidism status using hepatic enzymes and hormones as the independent variables. Three statistical metrics were used in evaluating the performance of the models, namely determination coefficient (R2), correlation coefficient (R), and mean squared error (MSE). Results Considering the quantitative and visual presentation of the results obtained, it has been observed that the MLP model showed higher performance skills than SVM and HW, which improved their performances up to 3.77% and 12.54%, respectively, in the testing stages. Furthermore, to boost the performance of the single AI-based models, three different ensemble approaches were employed, including neural network ensemble (NNE), weighted average ensemble (WAE), and simple average ensemble (SAE). The quantitative predictive performance of the NNE technique boosts the performance of SAE and WAE approaches up to 2.85% and 1.22%, respectively, in the testing stage. Conclusions Comparative performance of the ensemble techniques over the single models showed that NNE outperformed all the three AI-based models (MLP, SVM, and HW) and boosted their performance accuracy up to 7.44%, 11.212%, and 19.98%, respectively, in the testing stages.