Author:
Chen Wenyu,Yao Ming,Zhu Zhenyu,Sun Yanbao,Han Xiuping
Abstract
Abstract
Background
This study intends to establish a combined prediction model that integrates the clinical symptoms,the lung lesion volume, and the radiomics features of patients with COVID-19, resulting in a new model to predict the severity of COVID-19.
Methods
The clinical data of 386 patients with COVID-19 at several hospitals, as well as images of certain patients during their hospitalization, were collected retrospectively to create a database of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. The contour of lungs and lesion locations may be retrieved from CT scans using a CT-image-based quantitative discrimination and trend analysis method for COVID-19 and the Mask R-CNN deep neural network model to create 3D data of lung lesions. The quantitative COVID-19 factors were then determined, on which the diagnosis of the development of the patients' symptoms could be established. Then, using an artificial neural network, a prediction model of the severity of COVID-19 was constructed by combining characteristic imaging features on CT slices with clinical factors. ANN neural network was used for training, and tenfold cross-validation was used to verify the prediction model. The diagnostic performance of this model is verified by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results
CT radiomics features extraction and analysis based on a deep neural network can detect COVID-19 patients with an 86% sensitivity and an 85% specificity. According to the ROC curve, the constructed severity prediction model indicates that the AUC of patients with severe COVID-19 is 0.761, with sensitivity and specificity of 79.1% and 73.1%, respectively.
Conclusions
The combined prediction model for severe COVID-19 pneumonia, which is based on deep learning and integrates clinical aspects, pulmonary lesion volume, and radiomics features of patients, has a remarkable differential ability for predicting the course of disease in COVID-19 patients. This may assist in the early prevention of severe COVID-19 symptoms.
Funder
Jiaxing Fight Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Technology Attack Special Project in 2020
Key Discipline of Jiaxing Respiratory Medicine Construction Project
A Project Supported by Scientific Research Fund of Zhejiang Provincial Education Department
Jiaxing Key Laboratory of Precision Treatment for Lung Cancer
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging
Cited by
11 articles.
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