Affiliation:
1. Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Abstract
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0
of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
Publisher
European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
Subject
Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology
Cited by
1041 articles.
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