Effects of Energetic Particle Precipitation on Stratospheric Temperature During Disturbed Stratospheric Polar Vortex Conditions

Abstract

AbstractRecently, observational and re‐analysis studies have outlined potentially enhanced influence of Energetic Particle Precipitation (EPP) either at times preceding Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSW) or when the distribution of planetary wave activity is suitable. In addition, significant correlations have been found between EPP and the occurrence rate of SSWs when the phases of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO) are taken into account. Here we study the influence of EPP during disturbed stratospheric polar vortex conditions using chemistry‐climate model SOCOL‐MPIOM3 over the 20th century. When classifying disturbed conditions, the definition of minor SSWs are utilized along with a temperature gradient (day‐to‐day variations) criteria at 90°N and 10 hPa acting as a measure of the strength of the events. We find no influence of EPP on the occurrence rate of disturbed conditions over the last 100 year period. However, conditions preceding and during the disturbances are significantly different when EPP forcing is included into the model. This is especially true for stratospheric disturbances occurring in February. Furthermore, there is a clear tendency that the EPP effect becomes more notable after the 1950s. Our results imply that EPP forcing could be important for the stratospheric conditions during winter and that pre‐conditioning forced by atmospheric disturbances are an important factor when considering how the mechanism operates.