The Influence of Chosen Statistical Methods of Detecting Outliers on Property Valuation Result

Author:

Barańska Anna1,Śpiewak Beata1

Affiliation:

1. Departament of Integrated Geodesy and Cartography , AGH University of Science and Technology

Abstract

Abstract The subject of the thesis concerns the application of selected statistical methods searching for outliers in the process of determining the value of real estate, based on a functional model adjusted to market data. The collected research material consisted of data on land properties, which were the subject of transactions on local markets, for which there was no information regarding the specific conditions of concluding the sale agreement. After the initial selection of data regarding the purpose of the property in the local plan, the type of property rights being sold and the size of the shares sold - a functional model was adjusted to the obtained data, showing the relationship between the price being the dependent variable and the features of the property being the independent variables. Then, two statistical methods of searching for outliers which are significantly different in their algorithms, i.e. Cook’s distance and robust estimation method called Pope’s method, were applied to each model. The last stage was to determine the model values of selected properties and to compare the obtained results with the known transaction prices of the parcels being the subject of the valuation. The conducted research allowed for the verification of the influence of significantly different statistical methods searching for outliers on the property valuation result and its accuracy.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Reference26 articles.

1. Barańska, A. (2007). Two-Stage Model for Estimating Real Estates. Real Estate Management and Valuation, 15(3-4), 187–196.

2. Barańska, A. (2008) Criteria of using of stochastic models in prediction of real estate market value, Application of statistical methods in scientific research, Statsoft, online access https://media.statsoft.pl/_old_dnn/downloads/kryteria_stosowania_modeli.pdf

3. Barańska, A. (2010). Multiplicative models in real estate assessment process. Real Estate Management and Valuation, 18(1), 65–81.

4. Barańska, A., & Michalik, S. (2014). Variants of modeling dwelling market value. Real Estate Management and Valuation, 22(3), 28–35. https://doi.org/10.2478/remav-2014-0024

5. Barańska, A., Nowak, D. (2015). Function modelling of the market and assessing the degree of similarity between real properties – dependent or independent procedures in the process of office property valuation, Real Estate Management and Valuation, 23(3).

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